💡 Private Equity: When rates rise, leverage breaks.

Between 2022 and 2024, central banks led one of the most aggressive tightening cycles in modern history.
👉 The Fed hiked rates 11 times — from 0% to over 5%.

This reshaped the foundations of private equity, especially leveraged buyouts (LBOs) that thrive on cheap debt.

The outcome:

  • Fewer exits and IPOs,
  • Less cash flowing back to investors,
  • And the rise of a new trend — the dividend recapitalisation.

💰 In short: fund managers re-lever their portfolio companies to pay out cash dividends.
It’s tempting in the short term — but it weakens balance sheets and breaks the alignment between investors and the businesses they own.

📉 History has already warned us:


KB Toys and Phones 4u both collapsed soon after big dividend recaps.

🎯 As rates begin to stabilise in 2025, the real challenge is clear:
👉 Back to real value creation — operational growth, financial discipline, and transparency.

The next generation of private equity will be less about “financial engineering” and more about strategic transformation.

#Privateequity #expatrie #CEO #gestiondepatrimoine #finance